Racing Montevideo vs Danubio prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDanubio to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Racing Montevideo vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Racing Montevideo take on Danubio on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto. Racing Montevideo are 6th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Racing Montevideo and 1.3 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Montevideo 36%, draw 25%, Danubio 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Montevideo36%fair 2.81 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Danubio39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
2.48Expected goals
1.20Racing Montevideo xG
1.28Danubio xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.2 – 1.3 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Danubio to win✗
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.47
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Danubio / FT Danubio✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Racing Montevideo – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Nacional
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Danubio?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Danubio?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Danubio 39%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Danubio?
Racing Montevideo vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
