Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Nautico Recife host Novorizontino in the Serie B on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio dos Aflitos. Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nautico Recife's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Fortaleza EC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Novorizontino's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Goias 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Novorizontino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Nautico Recife and 1.4 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Nautico Recife 1–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nautico Recife32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Novorizontino46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
2.52Expected goals
1.11Nautico Recife xG
1.41Novorizontino xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.1 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novorizontino 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
