Serie B · Brazil · Estadio CastelãoCeara vs Criciuma prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 0.9 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ceara hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for Criciuma.
Ceara have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Criciuma have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Ceara, 0.9 for Criciuma). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ceara have won 0, Criciuma have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is close to our fair price of 1.96.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ceara to win ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.05 | – |
Form
Ceara – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Operario-PR | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Novorizontino | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
Criciuma – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Londrina | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Avai | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Operario-PR | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Jun 2026 | Criciuma v Ceara | 1–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ceara vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ceara vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Ceara have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Criciuma 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Ceara vs Criciuma?
Ceara vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.