The Serie B sees Botafogo SP take on Vila Nova on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Cruz. Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Vila Nova sit 3rd on 66 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botafogo SP's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vila Nova's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Londrina 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vila Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 June 2026, finished Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Botafogo SP and 1.2 for Vila Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botafogo SP 38%, draw 25%, Vila Nova 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–1 Vila Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo SP38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Vila Nova36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
2.40Expected goals
1.22Botafogo SP xG
1.18Vila Nova xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.2 – 1.2 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vila Nova 36%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
