Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife preview and prediction
The match
Nautico Recife travel to Estadio Castelão in the Serie B on Saturday 3 October (01:35 WAT) to face Fortaleza EC. Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Nautico Recife sit 15th on 46 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nautico Recife's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Sport Recife 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 June 2026, finished Nautico Recife 0–1 Fortaleza EC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Fortaleza EC and 0.5 for Nautico Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Nautico Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Nautico Recife9%fair 10.65 · @5.50
2.27Expected goals
1.78Fortaleza EC xG
0.49Nautico Recife xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.8 – 0.5 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
Our pick is Fortaleza EC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nautico Recife 9%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife?
Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:35 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
