Value bet: Ceara to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✓44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.35
Avai vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
Avai host Ceara in the Serie B on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estádio da Ressacada. Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Avai's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Criciuma 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ceara's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Operario-PR 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ceara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 June 2026, finished Ceara 2–1 Avai.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Avai and 1.3 for Ceara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avai 34%, draw 22%, Ceara 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ceara to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Avai 1–1 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Ceara44%fair 2.28 · @2.70
2.38Expected goals
1.09Avai xG
1.29Ceara xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avai 1.1 – 1.3 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Avai vs Ceara?
On our numbers Avai have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ceara 44%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Ceara?
Avai vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
