Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Recife to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Sport Recife vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
Sport Recife host Juventude in the Serie B on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. Sport Recife are 9th with 55 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Juventude sit 2nd on 68 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to CRB 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Juventude's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventude arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Juventude 0–1 Sport Recife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Sport Recife and 0.9 for Juventude. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 40%, draw 26%, Juventude 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–1 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.90
Juventude34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.05Sport Recife xG
0.95Juventude xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.1 – 0.9 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Juventude?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventude 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Juventude?
Sport Recife vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
