Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Primeiro de MaioSão Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.1 – 1.2 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates São Bernardo and Atletico Goianiense on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
São Bernardo have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Atletico Goianiense have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Atletico Goianiense come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for São Bernardo, 1.2 for Atletico Goianiense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, São Bernardo have won 1, Atletico Goianiense have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is close to our fair price of 1.95. For a bigger price, Atletico Goianiense to win at 2.88 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Goianiense to win ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.60 | – |
Form
São Bernardo – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ America Mineiro | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Londrina | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Nautico Recife | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Criciuma | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Ceara | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Botafogo SP | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Londrina | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Atletico Goianiense v São Bernardo | 0–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Goianiense 40%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense?
São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.