Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.23
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Fortaleza EC take on Ceara on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Avai 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ceara's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Ceara 2–1 Fortaleza EC. Across their last 2 meetings Fortaleza EC have won 0, Ceara 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Fortaleza EC and 0.5 for Ceara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Ceara13%fair 7.87 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.61Fortaleza EC xG
0.52Ceara xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.6 – 0.5 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fortaleza EC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ceara 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
