Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de BiasiNovorizontino vs Cuiaba prediction & analysis
Novorizontino to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.5 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novorizontino are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 11% for Cuiaba.
Novorizontino have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Cuiaba have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.7 for Novorizontino, 0.5 for Cuiaba). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Novorizontino have won 0, Cuiaba have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Novorizontino to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novorizontino to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Novorizontino or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.35 | – |
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
| 9 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Avai | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Athletic Club | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs America Mineiro | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ CRB | 0–0 | D |
Cuiaba – last 6
| 9 Sep | vs Athletic Club | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Goias | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | vs Operario-PR | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Ceara | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Cuiaba v Novorizontino | 0–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cuiaba 11%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Novorizontino vs Cuiaba?
Novorizontino vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.