Serie B · BrazilAtletico Goianiense vs Criciuma prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.1 – 0.9 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Goianiense hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Criciuma.
Atletico Goianiense have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Criciuma have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Atletico Goianiense come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Atletico Goianiense, 0.9 for Criciuma). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atletico Goianiense have won 0, Criciuma have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.96. For a bigger price, Criciuma to win at 3.75 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Goianiense to win ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✓ | 22% | 4.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.64 | – |
Form
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
| 10 Sep | vs Ceara | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Botafogo SP | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Londrina | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
Criciuma – last 6
| 9 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Goias | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense | 1–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Criciuma 32%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?
Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.