Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.98 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOperario-PR to win ✓39% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Operario-PR host Novorizontino in the Serie B on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estádio Germano Krüger. Operario-PR are 10th with 54 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Operario-PR's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Athletic Club 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novorizontino's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Atletico Goianiense 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Operario-PR and 1.2 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 2.98 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Operario-PR39%fair 2.60 · @2.42
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Novorizontino37%fair 2.70 · @2.98
2.42Expected goals
1.22Operario-PR xG
1.19Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 1.2 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novorizontino 37%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Germano Krüger.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
