Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.35 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗39% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.99
Nautico Recife vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Nautico Recife take on Juventude on Monday 6 July, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT). Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while Juventude sit 2nd on 68 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nautico Recife's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Goias 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Juventude's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Ceara 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventude arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Nautico Recife and 1.2 for Juventude. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 3.35 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nautico Recife 1–1 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nautico Recife36%fair 2.77 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Juventude39%fair 2.54 · @3.35
2.24Expected goals
1.09Nautico Recife xG
1.15Juventude xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.1 – 1.2 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
39%
2.54
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.99
–
Form
Nautico Recife – last 6
LLDLLW
28 Jun
vs Goias
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ Novorizontino
2–2
D
9 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
31 May
@ Sport Recife
0–2
L
22 May
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WWWLWL
28 Jun
vs Ceara
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Nautico Recife vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
