Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✓57% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Botafogo SP vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
Avai travel to Estádio Santa Cruz in the Serie B on Monday 6 July (23:00 WAT) to face Botafogo SP. Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botafogo SP's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to CRB 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Avai's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Botafogo SP and 0.7 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botafogo SP 57%, draw 21%, Avai 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Botafogo SP to win at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo SP57%fair 1.74 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Avai22%fair 4.62 · @4.10
2.21Expected goals
1.47Botafogo SP xG
0.74Avai xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.5 – 0.7 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✓
57%
1.74
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Botafogo SP – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Jul
vs CRB
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Ceara
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Operario-PR
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Vila Nova
0–1
L
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
LWLLWL
28 Jun
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
11 Jun
@ Ceara
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Avai?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Avai 22%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Avai?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Botafogo SP vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
