Sport Recife vs Athletic Club prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Recife to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Sport Recife take on Athletic Club on Thursday 11 June, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. Sport Recife are 9th with 55 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Athletic Club sit 14th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Nautico Recife 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Club's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Fortaleza EC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sport Recife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Sport Recife 1–3 Athletic Club.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Sport Recife and 0.7 for Athletic Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 58%, draw 23%, Athletic Club 19%.
Safer route: Sport Recife or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Athletic Club19%fair 5.33 · @4.65
2.22Expected goals
1.52Sport Recife xG
0.71Athletic Club xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.5 – 0.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
