Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✗41% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Goias vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino travel to Estádio da Serrinha in the Serie B on Thursday 11 June (00:00 WAT) to face Goias. Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Atletico Goianiense 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Novorizontino's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with São Bernardo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Goias and 1.1 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Goias 1–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias41%fair 2.46 · @2.36
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.96
Novorizontino33%fair 2.99 · @3.25
2.25Expected goals
1.20Goias xG
1.05Novorizontino xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Goias 1.2 – 1.1 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✗
41%
2.46
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Goias – last 6
DWLLDW
30 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
24 May
@ Avai
2–0
W
13 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–1
L
3 May
@ Fortaleza EC
1–4
L
22 Apr
vs Cruzeiro
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Criciuma
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
DDLDWW
31 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
27 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
20 May
vs Chapecoense-sc
0–2
L
17 May
@ Cuiaba
0–0
D
10 May
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
7 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Goias vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Goias have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novorizontino 33%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Novorizontino?
Goias vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
