The Serie B sees Ceara take on Avai on Thursday 11 June, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo. Ceara are 16th with 43 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ceara's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Operario-PR 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avai's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Ceara and 0.8 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ceara 60%, draw 24%, Avai 16%.
Safer route: Ceara or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ceara 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Avai16%fair 6.10 · @4.60
2.47Expected goals
1.70Ceara xG
0.76Avai xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.7 – 0.8 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
60%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Ceara or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
Ceara – last 6
LWLWLW
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Maranhão
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Jacuipense
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
WLWLDL
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
20 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–2
D
17 May
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ceara vs Avai?
On our numbers Ceara have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avai 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Avai?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Avai?
Ceara vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
