São Bernardo vs Novorizontino prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗38% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
São Bernardo vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino travel to Estádio Primeiro de Maio in the Serie B on Sunday 31 May (15:00 WAT) to face São Bernardo. São Bernardo are 11th with 52 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
São Bernardo's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Atletico Goianiense 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novorizontino's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Chapecoense-sc 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for São Bernardo and 1.2 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Bernardo 36%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Bernardo36%fair 2.78 · @2.76
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.88
Novorizontino38%fair 2.64 · @2.76
2.26Expected goals
1.11São Bernardo xG
1.15Novorizontino xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.1 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novorizontino 38%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
São Bernardo vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
