Value bet: Vila Nova to win @ 3.25 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Nova to win ✓39% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.28
Londrina vs Vila Nova preview and prediction
The match
Vila Nova travel to Estádio Jacy Scaff in the Serie B on Sunday 31 May (15:00 WAT) to face Londrina. Londrina are 18th with 35 points from 38 games (in the bottom three), while Vila Nova sit 3rd on 66 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Londrina's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 4–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Vila Nova's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat America Mineiro 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Vila Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Londrina and 1.3 for Vila Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Londrina 37%, draw 24%, Vila Nova 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Vila Nova to win at 3.25 – 39% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Londrina 1–1 Vila Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Londrina37%fair 2.74 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Vila Nova39%fair 2.56 · @3.25
2.62Expected goals
1.28Londrina xG
1.34Vila Nova xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.3 – 1.3 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✓
39%
2.56
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.28
–
Form
Londrina – last 6
WLLLLD
18 May
@ Ponte Preta
4–1
W
12 May
vs São Bernardo
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vila Nova – last 6
WWDWDD
24 May
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
17 May
vs Avai
2–0
W
4 May
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Araguaína
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Capital Brasilia
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Primavera MG
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and Vila Nova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Londrina vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Londrina have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vila Nova 39%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Vila Nova?
Londrina vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Jacy Scaff.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
