Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sport Recife to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗42% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Juventude vs Sport Recife preview and prediction
The match
Juventude host Sport Recife in the Serie B on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. Juventude are 2nd with 68 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Sport Recife sit 9th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sport Recife's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Fortaleza EC 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Juventude and 0.9 for Sport Recife. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventude 42%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Sport Recife to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juventude 1–0 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude42%fair 2.41 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Sport Recife34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.01Expected goals
1.08Juventude xG
0.93Sport Recife xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.1 – 0.9 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
42%
2.41
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Form
Juventude – last 6
DWDWLW
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
10 May
vs Criciuma
0–0
D
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Londrina
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Recife – last 6
WLWLWW
21 May
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
18 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
7 May
vs ASA
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Maranhão
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventude vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Juventude have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Recife 34%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Juventude vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
