Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Goianiense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗57% · @1.88
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.06
Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
São Bernardo travel to Estádio Antônio Accioly in the Serie B on Sunday 24 May (20:00 WAT) to face Atletico Goianiense. Atletico Goianiense are 8th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while São Bernardo sit 11th on 52 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Criciuma 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São Bernardo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Londrina 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Atletico Goianiense and 0.7 for São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Goianiense 57%, draw 27%, São Bernardo 16%.
Safer route: Atletico Goianiense or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Atletico Goianiense to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Goianiense or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Goianiense57%fair 1.74 · @1.88
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
São Bernardo16%fair 6.23 · @4.45
2.24Expected goals
1.55Atletico Goianiense xG
0.69São Bernardo xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.5 – 0.7 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✗
57%
1.74
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.06
–
Form
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DLDDWW
17 May
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Gama
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Atletico Paranaense
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Londrina
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
WDDLLW
12 May
@ Londrina
3–1
W
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Tombense
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Cianorte
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São Bernardo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
