Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗38% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Athletic Club vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
Juventude travel to Estádio Joaquim Portugal in the Serie B on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Athletic Club. Athletic Club are 14th with 47 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Juventude sit 2nd on 68 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Athletic Club's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Internacional 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Juventude's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sao Paulo 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Juventude arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Athletic Club and 0.9 for Juventude. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club 38%, draw 26%, Juventude 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Athletic Club 0–0 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club38%fair 2.62 · @2.58
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Juventude36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
1.89Expected goals
0.97Athletic Club xG
0.93Juventude xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.0 – 0.9 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
38%
2.62
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Athletic Club – last 6
LDLLLW
12 May
@ Internacional
2–3
L
4 May
@ Vila Nova
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Internacional
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ CRB
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WDWLWL
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
10 May
vs Criciuma
0–0
D
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Londrina
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Juventude?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventude 36%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Juventude?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 0–0 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Athletic Club vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Joaquim Portugal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
