Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Yeoju Sejong or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Yeoju Sejong to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYeoju Sejong to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceYeoju Sejong or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Yeoju Sejong take on Dangjin Citizen on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT). Yeoju Sejong are 10th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Dangjin Citizen sit 6th on 38 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Yeoju Sejong's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Gangneung City 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dangjin Citizen's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Mokpo City 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Yeoju Sejong and 0.9 for Dangjin Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Yeoju Sejong to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yeoju Sejong or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yeoju Sejong 1–0 Dangjin Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yeoju Sejong59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Dangjin Citizen14%fair 6.92 · @3.50
2.70Expected goals
1.85Yeoju Sejong xG
0.85Dangjin Citizen xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yeoju Sejong 1.8 – 0.9 Dangjin Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yeoju Sejong to win✗
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Yeoju Sejong or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Yeoju Sejong ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yeoju Sejong / FT Yeoju Sejong✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.05
–
Form
Yeoju Sejong – last 5
DWWDL
4 Apr
vs Gangneung City
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Changwon City
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Yangpyeong
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Dangjin Citizen – last 5
WLLWL
4 Apr
@ Mokpo City
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–4
L
20 Mar
@ Gangneung City
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Ulsan Citizen
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Changwon City
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeoju Sejong and Dangjin Citizen.
What is the prediction for Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen?
Our pick is Yeoju Sejong or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen?
On our numbers Yeoju Sejong have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dangjin Citizen 14%.
How many goals will there be in Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen?
Our predicted score is Yeoju Sejong 1–0 Dangjin Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen?
Yeoju Sejong vs Dangjin Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
