Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gyeongju HNP to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceGyeongju HNP or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong preview and prediction
The match
Yangpyeong travel to Gyeongju Civic Stadium in the K3 League on Saturday 11 April (06:00 WAT) to face Gyeongju HNP. Gyeongju HNP are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Yangpyeong sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gyeongju HNP's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Siheung Citizen 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Yangpyeong's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Busan Transportation 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Yangpyeong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Gyeongju HNP and 1.0 for Yangpyeong. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Gyeongju HNP to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gyeongju HNP or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gyeongju HNP 2–1 Yangpyeong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gyeongju HNP60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Yangpyeong15%fair 6.56 · @4.00
3.10Expected goals
2.08Gyeongju HNP xG
1.02Yangpyeong xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gyeongju HNP 2.1 – 1.0 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Gyeongju HNP or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Gyeongju HNP ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Gyeongju HNP – last 5
LDLLW
4 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Busan Transportation
2–3
L
7 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Yangpyeong – last 5
DDWDD
5 Apr
@ Busan Transportation
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Chuncheon
5–4
W
14 Mar
@ Yeoju Sejong
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Mokpo City
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gyeongju HNP and Yangpyeong.
What is the prediction for Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Gyeongju HNP or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Gyeongju HNP have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yangpyeong 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Gyeongju HNP 2–1 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong?
Gyeongju HNP vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
