Value bet: Yangpyeong to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYangpyeong to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong preview and prediction
The match
Yangpyeong travel to face Yeoju Sejong in the K3 League on Saturday 14 March (06:00 WAT). Yeoju Sejong are 10th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Yangpyeong sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Yeoju Sejong and 1.4 for Yangpyeong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Yangpyeong to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yeoju Sejong 1–1 Yangpyeong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yeoju Sejong33%fair 3.06 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.70
Yangpyeong43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.14Yeoju Sejong xG
1.36Yangpyeong xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Yeoju Sejong 1.1 – 1.4 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yangpyeong to win✗
43%
2.32
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yangpyeong / FT Yangpyeong✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.95
–
Form
Yeoju Sejong – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Yangpyeong – last 1
D
8 Mar
@ Mokpo City
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeoju Sejong and Yangpyeong.
What is the prediction for Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Yeoju Sejong have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yangpyeong 43%.
How many goals will there be in Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Yeoju Sejong 1–1 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong?
Yeoju Sejong vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
