Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win56% · @1.85
Double chanceChangwon City or draw80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–124% · fair 4.19
Mokpo City vs Changwon City preview and prediction
The match
Changwon City travel to face Mokpo City in the K3 League on Saturday 14 March (06:00 WAT). Mokpo City are 12th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Changwon City sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.4 for Mokpo City and 1.1 for Changwon City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mokpo City 20%, draw 24%, Changwon City 56%.
Safer route: Changwon City or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mokpo City 0–1 Changwon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mokpo City20%fair 5.08 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.90
Changwon City56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
1.50Expected goals
0.43Mokpo City xG
1.07Changwon City xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–124%
0–022%
0–213%
1–110%
1–010%
1–25%
From our goals model: Mokpo City 0.4 – 1.1 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Changwon City or draw
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
24%
4.19
–
Form
Mokpo City – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Yangpyeong
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 1
W
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mokpo City and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Changwon City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Mokpo City have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changwon City 56%.
How many goals will there be in Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Mokpo City 0–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Mokpo City vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
