Value bet: Busan Transportation to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25
Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation preview and prediction
The match
Busan Transportation travel to Gyeongju Civic Stadium in the K3 League on Saturday 14 March (06:00 WAT) to face Gyeongju HNP. Gyeongju HNP are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Busan Transportation sit 4th on 43 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Gyeongju HNP and 0.6 for Busan Transportation. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Busan Transportation to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Gyeongju HNP 0–0 Busan Transportation. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gyeongju HNP44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Busan Transportation32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
1.50Expected goals
0.85Gyeongju HNP xG
0.65Busan Transportation xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–019%
0–114%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Gyeongju HNP 0.9 – 0.6 Busan Transportation expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✗
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.25
–
Form
Gyeongju HNP – last 1
W
7 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Busan Transportation – last 1
W
7 Mar
vs Pocheon
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gyeongju HNP and Busan Transportation.
What is the prediction for Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?
On our numbers Gyeongju HNP have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Busan Transportation 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?
Our predicted score is Gyeongju HNP 0–0 Busan Transportation, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?
Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
