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Esiliiga A · Estonia · Holm Jalgpallipark
2–1
FT

Tartu Welco vs Flora II prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Tartu Welco to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓70% · @1.29
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.16

Tartu Welco vs Flora II preview and prediction

The match

Tartu Welco host Flora II in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Flora II sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Tartu Welco's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Kose 8–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.

Flora II's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Tartu Welco 3–3 Flora II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.9 for Tartu Welco and 1.2 for Flora II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Tartu Welco to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Tartu Welco70%fair 1.43 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @5.20
Flora II11%fair 9.34 · @5.80
4.17Expected goals
2.94Tartu Welco xG
1.23Flora II xG
55%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.9 – 1.2 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓70%1.431.29
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78%1.281.14
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.46
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.16–

Form

Tartu Welco – last 6

WLLLLW
12 Aug@ Kose8–0W
8 Aug@ Elva1–2L
1 Aug@ Nõmme United II1–2L
23 Jul@ Rumori Calcio II1–5L
18 Julvs FC Tallinn0–2L
13 Jul@ Maardu8–1W
3.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Flora II – last 6

WLWDLD
10 Augvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
1 Aug@ FC Tallinn0–1L
25 Jul@ Nõmme Kalju II5–0W
22 Jul@ Trans Narva0–0D
18 Julvs Maardu1–3L
12 Jul@ Nõmme United II1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Tartu Welco v Flora II3–3
Tartu Welco vs Flora II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flora II 11%.

How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Tartu Welco vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.