Thursday, 12 November 2026 10 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Esiliiga A · Estonia · Kadrioru Staadion
1–0
FT

Elva

WWDWW

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultElva to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva preview and prediction

The match

Tallinna Kalev host Elva in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Tartu Kalev 8–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.

Elva's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Joker 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Elva 3–1 Tallinna Kalev. Across their last 2 meetings Tallinna Kalev have won 1, Elva 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for Tallinna Kalev and 2.0 for Elva. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Tallinna Kalev37%fair 2.71 · @2.70
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
Elva45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
3.74Expected goals
1.77Tallinna Kalev xG
1.98Elva xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.8 – 2.0 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✗45%2.212.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultElva ahead at half-time ✗35%2.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.24–

Form

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

WDWWWL
11 Augvs Tartu Kalev8–0W
8 Augvs FC Tallinn1–1D
3 Aug@ Viimsi2–1W
23 Jul@ Tammeka Tartu U198–0W
18 Julvs Nõmme United II3–1W
11 Jul@ FCI Levadia II2–3L
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Elva – last 6

WWDWWW
12 Augvs Joker3–0W
8 Augvs Tartu Welco2–1W
1 Aug@ FCI Levadia II2–2D
22 Jul@ Läänemaa Haapsalu6–0W
16 Jul@ Viimsi3–1W
11 Jul@ FC Tallinn3–0W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Elva v Tallinna Kalev3–1
9 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev v Elva2–1
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elva 45%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.