Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaardu to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Maardu vs FC Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
Maardu host FC Tallinn in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Maardu linnastaadion. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while FC Tallinn sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Viimsi 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
FC Tallinn's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Tallinna Kalev 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 May 2026, finished FC Tallinn 0–0 Maardu. Across their last 2 meetings Maardu have won 0, FC Tallinn 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Maardu and 1.3 for FC Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 66%, draw 14%, FC Tallinn 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maardu to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
Draw14%fair 6.97 · @4.20
FC Tallinn19%fair 5.16 · @3.40
3.77Expected goals
2.51Maardu xG
1.26FC Tallinn xG
53%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.5 – 1.3 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Maardu have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 14% and FC Tallinn 19%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Maardu vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
