Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
FC Tallinn travel to Holm Jalgpallipark in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 18 July (17:00 WAT) to face Tartu Welco. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while FC Tallinn sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Maardu 8–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.0 per game.
FC Tallinn's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Elva 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Tartu Welco 4–0 FC Tallinn. Across their last 2 meetings Tartu Welco have won 2, FC Tallinn 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.1 for Tartu Welco and 1.1 for FC Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 75%, draw 14%, FC Tallinn 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 3–1 FC Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco75%fair 1.33 · @1.08
Draw14%fair 7.07 · @12.00
FC Tallinn11%fair 9.47 · @19.00
4.22Expected goals
3.07Tartu Welco xG
1.15FC Tallinn xG
57%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–05%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.1 – 1.1 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and FC Tallinn 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
