Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tallinna Kalev to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Nõmme United II on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Nõmme United II's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Flora II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished Nõmme United II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Across their last 2 meetings Tallinna Kalev have won 1, Nõmme United II 0, with 1 draw and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.5 for Nõmme United II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 62%, draw 17%, Nõmme United II 21%.
Value angle: Tallinna Kalev to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.20
Nõmme United II21%fair 4.85 · @3.00
4.14Expected goals
2.64Tallinna Kalev xG
1.51Nõmme United II xG
58%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–26%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.6 – 1.5 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nõmme United II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
