Value bet: FCI Levadia II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFCI Levadia II to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Nõmme Kalju II take on FCI Levadia II on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FCI Levadia II sit 3rd on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Viimsi 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FCI Levadia II's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Tallinna Kalev 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FCI Levadia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 1–0 FCI Levadia II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.6 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.5 for FCI Levadia II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 27%, draw 12%, FCI Levadia II 61%.
Value angle: FCI Levadia II to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II27%fair 3.75 · @2.75
Draw12%fair 8.03 · @4.20
FCI Levadia II61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
4.05Expected goals
1.57Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.48FCI Levadia II xG
59%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
1–17%
2–27%
2–35%
0–25%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 – 2.5 FCI Levadia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 12% and FCI Levadia II 61%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
