Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaardu to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Maardu vs FC Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
FC Tallinn travel to face Maardu in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 23 April (17:00 WAT). Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while FC Tallinn sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Nõmme Kalju II 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Tallinn's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Viimsi 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.7 for Maardu and 1.7 for FC Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 58%, draw 19%, FC Tallinn 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.50
FC Tallinn23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
4.38Expected goals
2.68Maardu xG
1.70FC Tallinn xG
60%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
3–26%
1–16%
1–25%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.7 – 1.7 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maardu to win✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Maardu ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maardu / FT Maardu✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.06
–
Form
Maardu – last 6
LWDLLW
18 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Elva
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Tallinn – last 4
LLWL
16 Apr
@ Viimsi
1–5
L
10 Apr
@ Flora II
0–5
L
4 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
6–3
W
15 Mar
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and FC Tallinn.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Maardu have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Tallinn 23%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Maardu vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
