FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: FCI Levadia II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFCI Levadia II to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees FCI Levadia II take on Tallinna Kalev on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). FCI Levadia II are 3rd with 57 points from 35 games (in the top four), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FCI Levadia II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tartu Welco 2–3 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Flora II 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for FCI Levadia II and 1.3 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FCI Levadia II 59%, draw 16%, Tallinna Kalev 25%.
Value angle: FCI Levadia II to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FCI Levadia II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FCI Levadia II59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @4.20
Tallinna Kalev25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
3.50Expected goals
2.18FCI Levadia II xG
1.32Tallinna Kalev xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FCI Levadia II 2.2 – 1.3 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FCI Levadia II to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
FCI Levadia II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FCI Levadia II / FT FCI Levadia II✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
FCI Levadia II – last 5
LLLLL
17 Apr
@ Tartu Welco
2–3
L
11 Apr
@ Maardu
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Flora II
1–3
L
21 Mar
@ Elva
2–3
L
16 Mar
vs Nõmme United II
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Tallinna Kalev – last 6
LWDLWL
16 Apr
vs Flora II
1–4
L
9 Apr
vs Elva
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Tallinn
5–1
W
11 Mar
@ Paide
0–6
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FCI Levadia II and Tallinna Kalev.
What is the prediction for FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers FCI Levadia II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tallinna Kalev 25%.
How many goals will there be in FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is FCI Levadia II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?
FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
