Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓91% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.38
Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Orense SC host Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Orense SC are 13th with 39 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 45 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orense SC's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Aucas 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Tecnico Universitario 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Orense SC and 2.1 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orense SC 9%, draw 22%, Independiente del Valle 68%.
Safer route: Independiente del Valle or draw (91%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orense SC 0–2 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orense SC9%fair 10.59 · @5.60
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.65
Independiente del Valle68%fair 1.46 · @1.62
2.78Expected goals
0.69Orense SC xG
2.09Independiente del Valle xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–113%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Orense SC 0.7 – 2.1 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
68%
1.46
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.38
–
Form
Orense SC – last 6
WLLDLL
23 Jul
vs Aucas
2–1
W
20 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Emelec
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
7 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
1 Jul
@ LDU de Quito
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
4–1
W
8 Jul
@ Santo Domingo
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Manta FC
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente del Valle 68%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 0–2 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
