Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.75 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Aucas vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Aucas take on Macara on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aucas's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Orense SC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Cuenca 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Macara 0–1 Aucas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Aucas and 1.1 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 41%, draw 24%, Macara 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Macara to win at 3.75 – 35% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aucas 1–1 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Macara35%fair 2.85 · @3.75
2.24Expected goals
1.18Aucas xG
1.06Macara xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.2 – 1.1 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aucas vs Macara?
On our numbers Aucas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Macara 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Macara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
