Wednesday, 11 November 2026 4 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Jocay
0–1
FT

Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultDelfin SC to win ✗40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80

Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction

The match

Delfin SC host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Jocay. Delfin SC are 14th with 38 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.

Form guide

Delfin SC's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Libertad 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Leones del Norte's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Leones del Norte 1–0 Delfin SC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Delfin SC and 0.9 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Delfin SC 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Delfin SC40%fair 2.48 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Leones del Norte34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
1.95Expected goals
1.04Delfin SC xG
0.92Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Delfin SC 1.0 – 0.9 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDelfin SC to win ✗40%2.482.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.942.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.691.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.80–

Form

Delfin SC – last 6

LWWLDL
21 Jul@ Libertad0–1L
18 Julvs Macara2–1W
15 Jul@ Manta FC1–0W
12 Jul@ Guayaquil City FC1–2L
5 Julvs Emelec1–1D
31 May@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Leones del Norte – last 6

DWDWWD
23 Julvs Guayaquil City FC1–1D
18 Jul@ LDU de Quito1–0W
15 Julvs Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
10 Julvs Universidad Catolica1–0W
4 Jul@ Libertad3–1W
1 Junvs Macara1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Leones del Norte v Delfin SC1–0
Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte?

On our numbers Delfin SC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones del Norte 34%.

How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte?

Our predicted score is Delfin SC 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte?

Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.