Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Tecnico Universitario or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tecnico Universitario to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceTecnico Universitario or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Tecnico Universitario host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Emelec 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Leones del Norte's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Mushuc Runa SC 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Tecnico Universitario and 0.6 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tecnico Universitario 58%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 17%.
Safer route: Tecnico Universitario or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Tecnico Universitario to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tecnico Universitario or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Leones del Norte17%fair 5.84 · @4.20
2.13Expected goals
1.48Tecnico Universitario xG
0.65Leones del Norte xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.5 – 0.6 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tecnico Universitario to win✓
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Tecnico Universitario or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tecnico Universitario / FT Tecnico Universitario✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 5
LWWDD
22 Apr
vs Emelec
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 6
WLWWLL
17 May
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–1
W
9 May
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
3 May
vs Emelec
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Manta FC
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Tecnico Universitario or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?
Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
