Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 2.32 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗49% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
LDU de Quito travel to Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Sunday 24 May (01:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Lanus 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.3 for LDU de Quito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 2.32 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca29%fair 3.42 · @2.98
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.25
LDU de Quito49%fair 2.05 · @2.32
2.29Expected goals
0.95Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.34LDU de Quito xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 – 1.3 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
49%
2.05
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
DWDDLL
20 May
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
16 May
@ Libertad
1–0
W
6 May
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs Orense SC
1–3
L
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
WWLLLD
21 May
vs Lanus
2–0
W
12 May
@ Mushuc Runa SC
3–1
W
7 May
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Lanus
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Emelec
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Aucas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LDU de Quito 49%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?
Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
