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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio 9 de Mayo
Sat 23 May 2026

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOrense SC to win42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.77

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Pro sees Orense SC take on Universidad Catolica on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Orense SC are 13th with 39 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Orense SC's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Guayaquil City FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Universidad Catolica's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 0–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Orense SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Orense SC and 1.2 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Orense SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Orense SC42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica35%fair 2.83 · @2.66
2.59Expected goals
1.36Orense SC xG
1.23Universidad Catolica xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Orense SC 1.4 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrense SC to win42%2.402.50
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.681.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orense SC / FT Orense SC23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010%9.77–

Form

Orense SC – last 6

WWDWDW
19 May@ Guayaquil City FC1–0W
9 Mayvs Leones del Norte2–0W
27 Aprvs Barcelona SC1–1D
22 Apr@ Deportivo Cuenca3–1W
19 Aprvs Delfin SC0–0D
12 Aprvs Libertad2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 6

LLLWDW
13 Mayvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
1 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
27 Apr@ Manta FC0–1L
24 Aprvs Macara4–0W
9 Aprvs Emelec1–1D
17 Marvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Universidad Catolica.

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Orense SC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 35%.

How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.