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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Sat 23 May 2026

Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win61% · @1.65
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.40

Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction

The match

Mushuc Runa SC host Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points.

Form guide

Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Leones del Norte 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Guayaquil City FC's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Orense SC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Guayaquil City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.7 for Guayaquil City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mushuc Runa SC61%fair 1.65 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Guayaquil City FC18%fair 5.60 · @5.30
2.34Expected goals
1.62Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.72Guayaquil City FC xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.6 – 0.7 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win61%1.651.65
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%1.981.90
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.801.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.40–

Form

Mushuc Runa SC – last 6

LLLDWL
17 May@ Leones del Norte1–3L
12 Mayvs LDU de Quito1–3L
23 Apr@ Barcelona SC1–2L
7 Apr@ Libertad2–2D
23 Marvs Emelec2–0W
19 Mar@ Orense SC2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LLWWDW
19 Mayvs Orense SC0–1L
14 May@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–2L
21 Apr@ Libertad1–0W
18 Apr@ Emelec3–1W
23 Marvs Leones del Norte0–0D
18 Mar@ Manta FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Guayaquil City FC.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guayaquil City FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.