Orense SC vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrense SC to win ✓63% · @1.54
Double chanceOrense SC or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Orense SC vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Orense SC take on Leones del Norte on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Orense SC are 13th with 39 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Form guide
Orense SC's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Barcelona SC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Leones del Norte's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Emelec 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Orense SC and 0.7 for Leones del Norte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orense SC 63%, draw 20%, Leones del Norte 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Orense SC 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orense SC63%fair 1.59 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Leones del Norte17%fair 5.93 · @7.00
2.34Expected goals
1.66Orense SC xG
0.68Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.7 – 0.7 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✓
63%
1.59
1.54
Double chance
Orense SC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Orense SC – last 6
DWDWLW
27 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ Deportivo Cuenca
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Delfin SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Libertad
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Aucas
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 6
WWLLWD
3 May
vs Emelec
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Manta FC
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leones del Norte 17%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?
Orense SC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
