Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.28
Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Cuenca travel to face Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro on Saturday 9 May (22:00 WAT). Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Libertad 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guayaquil City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Guayaquil City FC and 0.9 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 48%, draw 22%, Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC48%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Deportivo Cuenca30%fair 3.29 · @3.80
2.24Expected goals
1.29Guayaquil City FC xG
0.95Deportivo Cuenca xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.3 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guayaquil City FC to win
48%
2.11
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guayaquil City FC / FT Guayaquil City FC
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.28
–
Form
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WWDWDL
21 Apr
@ Libertad
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Emelec
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
DDLLWW
6 May
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs Orense SC
1–3
L
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guayaquil City FC and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
