LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.36
8/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win65% · @1.38
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.71
LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC travel to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in the Liga Pro on Saturday 2 May (22:30 WAT) to face LDU de Quito. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Lanus 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Libertad 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guayaquil City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for LDU de Quito and 0.6 for Guayaquil City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 65%, draw 22%, Guayaquil City FC 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.40
Guayaquil City FC14%fair 7.37 · @8.30
2.25Expected goals
1.67LDU de Quito xG
0.59Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.7 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win
65%
1.54
1.38
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.71
–
Form
LDU de Quito – last 6
LLDWLW
28 Apr
@ Lanus
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Emelec
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Aucas
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Always Ready
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WWDWDL
21 Apr
@ Libertad
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Emelec
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guayaquil City FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?
LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
