Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Tecnico Universitario to win @ 3.95 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.09
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Tecnico Universitario travel to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Saturday 2 May (20:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Emelec 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.9 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tecnico Universitario to win at 3.95 – 29% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca48%fair 2.06 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Tecnico Universitario29%fair 3.40 · @3.95
2.22Expected goals
1.30Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.92Tecnico Universitario xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 – 0.9 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win
48%
2.06
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.09
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
DLLWWL
29 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs Orense SC
1–3
L
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tecnico Universitario – last 5
LWWDD
22 Apr
vs Emelec
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 29%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
