Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Mushuc Runa SC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win61% · @1.90
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.87
Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Cuenca travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Saturday 25 April (17:45 WAT) to face Mushuc Runa SC. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points.
Form guide
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Orense SC 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.6 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Mushuc Runa SC or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mushuc Runa SC or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Deportivo Cuenca12%fair 8.22 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.66Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.62Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.7 – 0.6 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mushuc Runa SC to win
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Mushuc Runa SC or draw
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.87
–
Form
Mushuc Runa SC – last 5
LDWLD
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LLWWLD
22 Apr
vs Orense SC
1–3
L
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Mushuc Runa SC or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Cuenca 12%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
