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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Sat 18 Apr 2026

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Tecnico Universitario to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.44

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Pro sees Mushuc Runa SC take on Tecnico Universitario on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points.

Form guide

Mushuc Runa SC's last 4: DWLD Most recently they drew with Libertad 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tecnico Universitario's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Tecnico Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.0 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mushuc Runa SC46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.25
Tecnico Universitario32%fair 3.15 · @3.75
2.24Expected goals
1.27Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.98Tecnico Universitario xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 – 1.0 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win46%2.162.00
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.851.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.261.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013%7.44–

Form

Mushuc Runa SC – last 4

DWLD
7 Apr@ Libertad2–2D
23 Marvs Emelec2–0W
19 Mar@ Orense SC2–3L
15 Marvs Macara0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 4

WWDD
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
13 Marvs Libertad2–1W
8 Mar@ Macara1–1D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Tecnico Universitario.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 32%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.