Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Tecnico Universitario to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win46% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.84
Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Universidad Catolica travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Sunday 12 April (18:00 WAT) to face Tecnico Universitario. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Universidad Catolica's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Emelec 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tecnico Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.3 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tecnico Universitario 33%, draw 21%, Universidad Catolica 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Tecnico Universitario to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario33%fair 3.05 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica46%fair 2.16 · @2.08
2.32Expected goals
1.02Tecnico Universitario xG
1.30Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.0 – 1.3 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
46%
2.16
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.84
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 4
WWDD
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Universidad Catolica – last 4
DWDL
9 Apr
vs Emelec
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Universidad Catolica 46%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?
Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
