Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win41% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.16
Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Independiente del Valle travel to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Sunday 12 April (19:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Santos 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Rosario Central 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.2 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Cuenca 34%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca34%fair 2.93 · @3.05
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Independiente del Valle41%fair 2.41 · @2.34
2.30Expected goals
1.08Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.22Independiente del Valle xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.2 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
41%
2.41
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.16
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
WWLDWW
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 4
DLWW
9 Apr
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
